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Malawi: Economy

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Malawi: Economy

GDP: US$ 1.7bn (2003)
GDP per capita: US$155 (2003)
Annual Growth: 4.4% (2003)
Inflation: 14.9% (2004 Projected)
Major Industries: Tobacco, Tea, Sugar, Sawmill Products, Cement and Consumer Goods
Main Imports: Food, Petroleum Products, Semi-manufactures, Consumer Goods, Transportation Equipment
Main Exports: Tobacco, Tea, Sugar, Textiles, Coffee, Cotton and Peanuts
Major Trading Partners: South Africa, Germany, US, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Netherlands, UK, Japan

Malawi faces serious problems. The UN Human Development index grades Malawi 165 out of 177 countries and the tenth poorest country in the world. It has few exploitable resources apart from land, which is at serious risk of degradation as a result of population pressure and poor farming methods. Agriculture remains the backbone of the economy, employing 85% of the working population. However, about 90% of these workers are engaged in subsistence farming. Tobacco is responsible for some 60% of export earnings, with sugar, tea and coffee contributing about 5% each.

Malawi’s economic outlook largely depends on the successful implementation of its programmes with the IMF, World Bank and other donors. Although Malawi secured a programme with the IMF on 20 October 2003, the country is still trading on a very thin line between keeping the programme alive and it being suspended due to the non-fulfilment of certain conditions.

Greater fiscal discipline is required to alleviate upward pressure on inflation and the crowding out of the private sector through domestic budget financing. This will also pave the way for real interest rates to drop to levels that support domestic economic activity. In the short-term economic conditions are expected to improve. A positive development has been growing exports to the US under the Africa Growth Opportunity Act (AGOA). The economy is expected to benefit increasingly from textile and related activities which should gradually absorb under-performance in traditional industries.

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